FLUS44 KTSA 081756 HWOTSA Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Tulsa OK 1256 PM CDT Wed Jul 8 2026 ARZ001-002-010-011-119-120-129-219-220-229-OKZ049-053-055>071- 073>075-154-172-176-254-272-276-354-376-091800- Benton-Carroll-Washington AR-Madison-Northern Crawford- Northern Franklin-North and Central Sebastian-Southern Crawford- Central and Southern Franklin-Southern Sebastian-Pushmataha- Choctaw-Washington OK-Nowata-Craig-Ottawa-Pawnee-Tulsa-Rogers- Mayes-Delaware-Creek-Okfuskee-Okmulgee-Wagoner-Cherokee-Adair- Muskogee-McIntosh-Pittsburg-Haskell-Latimer-Western Osage- Northern Sequoyah-Northern Le Flore-Northeast Osage- Central and Southern Sequoyah-Central Le Flore-Southeast Osage- Southern Le Flore- 1256 PM CDT Wed Jul 8 2026 This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as much of Eastern Oklahoma. .DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight. THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING. RISK...Limited. AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas. ONSET...This Afternoon. DANGEROUS HEAT. RISK...Elevated. AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas. ONSET...Ongoing. DISCUSSION... A diffuse frontal boundary is expected to lift northeast this afternoon with the potential to become a focus for additional storms over parts of eastern Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas. Storms this afternoon will have the potential to produce gusty winds and locally heavy rains. Storms are expected to weaken this evening with the loss of daytime heating. Overall coverage this afternoon looks to be widely scattered with most locations remaining dry. Also this afternoon, heat index values are forecast to climb back into the 100 to around 105 degrees range across much of eastern Oklahoma and west central Arkansas. Late tonight into Thursday morning, a slight chance for additional showers and storms develops for northeast Oklahoma and far northwest Arkansas as an area of low pressure moves eastward across Kansas. SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT... Spotter Activation Not Expected. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...Thunderstorm and Dangerous Heat Potential. SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential. EXTENDED DISCUSSION... Low thunderstorm chances continue Thursday for northeast Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas before tapering off Thursday evening. Storm chances quickly return late Thursday night into Friday with a potential weakening storm complex approaching from the northwest. The greater storm chances develop Friday night into the weekend with another disturbance moving through the central Plains. A limited severe potential as well as a heavy rain threat exists Friday into the weekend. Shower and storm chances begin to move out of the region by the middle of next week ahead of a building ridge of high pressure over the western and central United States. In addition to the storm chances, afternoon heat index values up to 105 to 109 degrees are possible for parts of northeast Oklahoma and west-central Arkansas Thursday afternoon. Heat indices in the 100 to around 105 degree range are forecast into the weekend for parts of eastern Oklahoma and west-central Arkansas. weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information. $$