FNUS54 KTSA 180440 FWFTSA Fire Weather Planning Forecast National Weather Service Tulsa OK 1139 PM CDT Sun May 17 2026 RED FLAG...None. .DISCUSSION... Strong winds expected Monday with isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms early in the day. Cold front and numerous showers and storms arrive Monday night into northeast Oklahoma and continue southward through the day Tuesday. Widespread rains are expected with locally heavy rainfall potential. Cooler temperatures expected for mid week. Fire weather conditions are not expected to be a concern through the forecast period. OKZ049-053-180545- Pushmataha-Choctaw- Including the cities of Antlers, Clayton, and Hugo 1140 PM CDT Sun May 17 2026 Mon Mon Night Tue Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Mcldy Min/Max Temperature 87 70 81 Max/Min Humidity(%) 55 95 76 AM 20ft Wind(mph) S 11 G27 S 7 G20 PM 20ft Wind(mph) S 13 G27 S 10 G26 S 5 Precip Type Tstms None Tstms Chance Precip (%) 20 0 90 Precip Amount (in) 0.01 0.00 0.29 Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4250 1890 Transport Wnd (mph) S 28 S 17 1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 78 79 76 Vent Rate (m/s-m) 3110 1030 Category Day Index 4 3 Stability Class C F B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .WEDNESDAY...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper 70s. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. North winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 70s. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 70s. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. East winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. East winds around 5 mph. $$ OKZ070-071-073>075-180545- Muskogee-McIntosh-Pittsburg-Haskell-Latimer- Including the cities of Muskogee, Checotah, McAlester, Stigler, and Wilburton 1140 PM CDT Sun May 17 2026 Mon Mon Night Tue Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy Min/Max Temperature 87 70 79 Max/Min Humidity(%) 56 92 74 AM 20ft Wind(mph) S 14 G28 SW 8 G19 PM 20ft Wind(mph) S 15 G29 S 13 G26 NW 7 Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Chance Precip (%) 20 20 90 Precip Amount (in) 0.01 0.04 0.24 Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4730 1650 Transport Wnd (mph) S 31 W 14 1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 78 79 70 Vent Rate (m/s-m) 3140 1060 Category Day Index 5 2 Stability Class C F B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .WEDNESDAY...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 70s. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. North winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 70s. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 70s. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. North winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 80s. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. East winds around 5 mph. $$ ARZ001-180545- Benton- Including the cities of Rogers and Bentonville 1140 PM CDT Sun May 17 2026 Mon Mon Night Tue Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy Min/Max Temperature 85 70 78 Max/Min Humidity(%) 59 90 78 AM 20ft Wind(mph) S 15 G31 SW 10 G17 PM 20ft Wind(mph) S 16 G30 S 14 G28 W 7 Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Chance Precip (%) 30 30 80 Precip Amount (in) 0.00 0.06 0.21 Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4350 2190 Transport Wnd (mph) S 31 SW 20 1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 75 76 64 Vent Rate (m/s-m) 3140 1320 Category Day Index 5 3 Stability Class C F B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .WEDNESDAY...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs around 70. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid 70s. East winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid 70s. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 60. Highs in the lower 80s. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 80s. Southeast winds around 5 mph. $$ ARZ002-180545- Carroll- Including the cities of Berryville and Eureka Springs 1140 PM CDT Sun May 17 2026 Mon Mon Night Tue Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy Min/Max Temperature 85 71 80 Max/Min Humidity(%) 60 88 78 AM 20ft Wind(mph) S 12 G29 SW 9 G21 PM 20ft Wind(mph) S 14 G29 S 12 G28 SW 7 Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Chance Precip (%) 30 20 90 Precip Amount (in) 0.00 0.00 0.15 Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4370 3080 Transport Wnd (mph) S 28 SW 22 1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 75 75 71 Vent Rate (m/s-m) 2970 1750 Category Day Index 4 4 Stability Class C F B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .WEDNESDAY...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 60s. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower 70s. East winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid 70s. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Highs in the lower 80s. North winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 80s. South winds around 5 mph. $$ ARZ010-180545- Washington AR- Including the cities of Fayetteville and Springdale 1140 PM CDT Sun May 17 2026 Mon Mon Night Tue Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy Min/Max Temperature 84 70 78 Max/Min Humidity(%) 58 86 75 AM 20ft Wind(mph) S 16 G31 S 10 G22 PM 20ft Wind(mph) S 16 G30 S 16 G32 SW 7 Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Chance Precip (%) 30 20 90 Precip Amount (in) 0.01 0.01 0.22 Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3910 2020 Transport Wnd (mph) S 30 S 21 1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 75 75 71 Vent Rate (m/s-m) 3030 1400 Category Day Index 4 3 Stability Class C F C Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .WEDNESDAY...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Highs around 70. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid 70s. East winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Highs in the mid 70s. East winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs around 80. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. South winds around 5 mph. $$ ARZ011-180545- Madison- Including the city of Huntsville 1140 PM CDT Sun May 17 2026 Mon Mon Night Tue Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy Min/Max Temperature 83 68 78 Max/Min Humidity(%) 64 91 79 AM 20ft Wind(mph) S 14 G31 S 10 G23 PM 20ft Wind(mph) S 14 G30 S 14 G32 SW 7 Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Chance Precip (%) 30 20 90 Precip Amount (in) 0.01 0.00 0.16 Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3670 2330 Transport Wnd (mph) S 28 SW 21 1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 73 73 72 Vent Rate (m/s-m) 2900 1560 Category Day Index 4 3 Stability Class C F C Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .WEDNESDAY...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Highs in the upper 60s. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower 70s. East winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid 70s. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Highs in the upper 70s. South winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. South winds around 5 mph. $$ ARZ119-219-180545- Northern Crawford-Southern Crawford- Including the cities of Mountainburg and Van Buren 1140 PM CDT Sun May 17 2026 Mon Mon Night Tue Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Mcldy Min/Max Temperature 86 70 80 Max/Min Humidity(%) 59 90 77 AM 20ft Wind(mph) SE 11 G27 S 6 G18 PM 20ft Wind(mph) S 13 G27 S 11 G27 SW 5 Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Chance Precip (%) 30 20 90 Precip Amount (in) 0.05 0.02 0.40 Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3600 1640 Transport Wnd (mph) S 23 S 13 1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 77 77 76 Vent Rate (m/s-m) 2080 730 Category Day Index 4 2 Stability Class C F B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .WEDNESDAY...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 70s. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. North winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 70s. East winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 70s. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs around 80. East winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. East winds around 5 mph. $$ ARZ120-220-180545- Northern Franklin-Central and Southern Franklin- Including the cities of Barnes, Paradise, Cecil, Cravens, Jethro, Lonelm, Ozark, Watalula, and Charleston 1140 PM CDT Sun May 17 2026 Mon Mon Night Tue Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Mcldy Min/Max Temperature 88 69 83 Max/Min Humidity(%) 59 93 80 AM 20ft Wind(mph) SE 10 G27 S 7 G20 PM 20ft Wind(mph) S 12 G27 S 10 G28 SW 5 Precip Type Tstms None Tstms Chance Precip (%) 30 0 90 Precip Amount (in) 0.04 0.00 0.38 Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3400 1830 Transport Wnd (mph) S 20 SW 12 1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 77 78 75 Vent Rate (m/s-m) 2160 950 Category Day Index 4 2 Stability Class C F B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .WEDNESDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 70s. Chance of precipitation 80 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Highs in the mid 70s. East winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 70s. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. East winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 80s. East winds around 5 mph. $$ ARZ129-229-180545- North and Central Sebastian-Southern Sebastian- Including the cities of Fort Smith, Liberty, Mansfield, Hartford, Huntington, and Patterson 1140 PM CDT Sun May 17 2026 Mon Mon Night Tue Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy Min/Max Temperature 88 71 83 Max/Min Humidity(%) 54 88 74 AM 20ft Wind(mph) S 11 G28 S 7 G22 PM 20ft Wind(mph) S 13 G27 S 11 G26 SW 6 Precip Type Tstms None Tstms Chance Precip (%) 30 0 90 Precip Amount (in) 0.02 0.00 0.37 Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4340 2190 Transport Wnd (mph) S 24 SW 16 1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 78 79 76 Vent Rate (m/s-m) 2730 1020 Category Day Index 4 3 Stability Class C F B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .WEDNESDAY...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 70s. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. North winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 70s. East winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 70s. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 80s. Southeast winds around 5 mph. $$ OKZ058-063-068-069-172-272-180545- Ottawa-Delaware-Cherokee-Adair-Northern Sequoyah- Central and Southern Sequoyah- Including the cities of Miami, Grove, Jay, Tahlequah, Stilwell, Marble City, and Sallisaw 1140 PM CDT Sun May 17 2026 Mon Mon Night Tue Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy Min/Max Temperature 86 69 78 Max/Min Humidity(%) 58 92 75 AM 20ft Wind(mph) S 13 G32 SW 7 PM 20ft Wind(mph) S 14 G31 S 13 G27 NW 6 Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Chance Precip (%) 30 40 90 Precip Amount (in) 0.01 0.12 0.29 Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4120 1650 Transport Wnd (mph) S 30 W 14 1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 77 78 66 Vent Rate (m/s-m) 3140 900 Category Day Index 5 2 Stability Class C F B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .WEDNESDAY...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower 70s. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. North winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid 70s. East winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 70s. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 80s. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. $$ OKZ055>057-059>062-064>067-154-254-354-180545- Washington OK-Nowata-Craig-Pawnee-Tulsa-Rogers-Mayes-Creek- Okfuskee-Okmulgee-Wagoner-Western Osage-Northeast Osage- Southeast Osage- Including the cities of Bartlesville, Nowata, Vinita, Pawnee, Tulsa, Claremore, Pryor, Sapulpa, Okemah, Okmulgee, Wagoner, Fairfax, Shidler, Pawhuska, and Hominy 1140 PM CDT Sun May 17 2026 Mon Mon Night Tue Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Mcldy Min/Max Temperature 86 62 73 Max/Min Humidity(%) 59 98 63 AM 20ft Wind(mph) S 17 G32 NW 9 G17 PM 20ft Wind(mph) S 18 G33 S 17 G31 N 9 Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Chance Precip (%) 20 70 60 Precip Amount (in) 0.00 0.28 0.14 Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4190 2380 Transport Wnd (mph) S 35 N 16 1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 78 75 54 Vent Rate (m/s-m) 3140 1350 Category Day Index 5 3 Stability Class C F B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs around 70. Chance of showers 50 percent. North winds around 10 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower 70s. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 70s. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. North winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 60. Highs in the lower 80s. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 80s. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. $$ OKZ176-276-376-180545- Northern Le Flore-Central Le Flore-Southern Le Flore- Including the cities of Pocola, Spiro, Arkoma, Panama, Poteau, and Talihina 1140 PM CDT Sun May 17 2026 Mon Mon Night Tue Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy Min/Max Temperature 87 69 80 Max/Min Humidity(%) 54 94 74 AM 20ft Wind(mph) S 13 G34 S 8 G27 PM 20ft Wind(mph) S 13 G30 S 13 G33 SW 5 Precip Type Tstms None Tstms Chance Precip (%) 30 0 80 Precip Amount (in) 0.01 0.00 0.27 Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4630 1950 Transport Wnd (mph) S 28 SW 17 1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 77 78 75 Vent Rate (m/s-m) 3140 1030 Category Day Index 5 3 Stability Class C F B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .WEDNESDAY...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 70s. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. North winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 70s. East winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 70s. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs around 80. Light winds. .SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. Light winds. $$