FNUS54 KTSA 181621 FWFTSA Fire Weather Planning Forecast National Weather Service Tulsa OK 1120 AM CDT Mon May 18 2026 RED FLAG...None. .DISCUSSION... Strong winds expected through this evening. Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms across northwest Arkansas will diminish by mid afternoon. A cold front and numerous showers and storms arrive Tuesday morning for northeast Oklahoma, continuing southeast through the day. Widespread rains are expected with locally heavy rainfall potential. Cooler temperatures expected for mid week with additional rain chances through late week. Fire weather conditions are not expected to be a concern through the forecast period. OKZ049-053-190900- Pushmataha-Choctaw- Including the cities of Antlers, Clayton, and Hugo 1120 AM CDT Mon May 18 2026 Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy Min/Max Temperature 71 82 63 80 Max/Min Humidity(%) 91 73 100 68 AM 20ft Wind(mph) S 7 G20 Lgt/Var PM 20ft Wind(mph) S 12 G23 S 5 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Tstms Chance Precip (%) 0 90 60 60 Precip Amount (in) 0.00 0.70 0.19 0.25 Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 2430 3190 Transport Wnd (mph) S 12 NE 8 1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 79 77 79 77 Vent Rate (m/s-m) 790 700 Category Day Index 2 2 Stability Class F B F B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .THURSDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 70s. Chance of precipitation 90 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 70s. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. East winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. East winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 80s. East winds around 5 mph. $$ OKZ070-071-073>075-190900- Muskogee-McIntosh-Pittsburg-Haskell-Latimer- Including the cities of Muskogee, Checotah, McAlester, Stigler, and Wilburton 1120 AM CDT Mon May 18 2026 Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy Min/Max Temperature 71 81 59 76 Max/Min Humidity(%) 92 72 100 69 AM 20ft Wind(mph) S 8 G20 NE 5 PM 20ft Wind(mph) S 14 G23 NW 6 Lgt/Var N 5 Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Tstms Chance Precip (%) 0 90 70 50 Precip Amount (in) 0.00 0.35 0.13 0.10 Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 1930 2420 Transport Wnd (mph) SW 17 NE 10 1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 80 70 75 74 Vent Rate (m/s-m) 1190 760 Category Day Index 3 2 Stability Class F B F B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .THURSDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 70s. Chance of precipitation 80 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 70s. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. East winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 80s. Chance of showers 40 percent. East winds around 5 mph. $$ ARZ001-190900- Benton- Including the cities of Rogers and Bentonville 1120 AM CDT Mon May 18 2026 Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy Min/Max Temperature 70 79 57 71 Max/Min Humidity(%) 88 75 100 64 AM 20ft Wind(mph) SW 9 G17 NE 7 PM 20ft Wind(mph) S 15 G24 NW 7 N 5 NE 6 Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms Chance Precip (%) 20 90 80 50 Precip Amount (in) 0.01 0.27 0.17 0.11 Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 2390 2020 Transport Wnd (mph) SW 20 NE 13 1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 78 65 63 62 Vent Rate (m/s-m) 1590 630 Category Day Index 3 2 Stability Class F B F B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .THURSDAY...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid 70s. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 70s. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 80s. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 80s. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. $$ ARZ002-190900- Carroll- Including the cities of Berryville and Eureka Springs 1120 AM CDT Mon May 18 2026 Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed Cloud Cover Mclear Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy Min/Max Temperature 71 80 58 69 Max/Min Humidity(%) 88 75 100 73 AM 20ft Wind(mph) SW 9 G22 NE 5 PM 20ft Wind(mph) S 13 G25 SW 6 Lgt/Var NE 5 Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms Chance Precip (%) 20 90 90 60 Precip Amount (in) 0.00 0.27 0.13 0.16 Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 3270 1930 Transport Wnd (mph) SW 22 NE 13 1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 77 72 62 59 Vent Rate (m/s-m) 1700 620 Category Day Index 4 2 Stability Class F B F B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .THURSDAY...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid 70s. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 70s. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. South winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 80s. Chance of showers 30 percent. South winds around 5 mph. $$ ARZ010-190900- Washington AR- Including the cities of Fayetteville and Springdale 1120 AM CDT Mon May 18 2026 Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy Min/Max Temperature 71 79 59 72 Max/Min Humidity(%) 85 73 97 66 AM 20ft Wind(mph) S 9 G23 NE 6 PM 20ft Wind(mph) S 17 G28 SW 7 Lgt/Var NE 6 Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms Chance Precip (%) 20 90 80 50 Precip Amount (in) 0.00 0.36 0.19 0.15 Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 2520 1980 Transport Wnd (mph) SW 14 NE 13 1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 77 71 70 66 Vent Rate (m/s-m) 1410 650 Category Day Index 3 2 Stability Class F B F B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .THURSDAY...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 70s. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 70s. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs around 80. East winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. Chance of showers 30 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. $$ ARZ011-190900- Madison- Including the city of Huntsville 1120 AM CDT Mon May 18 2026 Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy Min/Max Temperature 70 80 59 71 Max/Min Humidity(%) 91 77 100 76 AM 20ft Wind(mph) S 9 G24 NE 5 PM 20ft Wind(mph) S 16 G27 SW 7 Lgt/Var NE 5 Precip Type Showers Tstms Tstms Tstms Chance Precip (%) 20 90 80 60 Precip Amount (in) 0.00 0.39 0.14 0.22 Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 2770 1780 Transport Wnd (mph) SW 14 E 12 1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 75 73 67 61 Vent Rate (m/s-m) 1640 570 Category Day Index 3 2 Stability Class F B F B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .THURSDAY...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower 70s. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Highs in the mid 70s. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Highs in the upper 70s. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. East winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. Chance of showers 40 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. $$ ARZ119-219-190900- Northern Crawford-Southern Crawford- Including the cities of Mountainburg and Van Buren 1120 AM CDT Mon May 18 2026 Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy Min/Max Temperature 70 80 62 77 Max/Min Humidity(%) 88 75 95 68 AM 20ft Wind(mph) S 6 G18 NE 5 PM 20ft Wind(mph) SE 12 G23 SW 5 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Tstms Chance Precip (%) 0 90 70 60 Precip Amount (in) 0.00 0.57 0.16 0.14 Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 2980 2150 Transport Wnd (mph) SW 12 E 9 1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 79 77 75 72 Vent Rate (m/s-m) 890 550 Category Day Index 3 2 Stability Class F B F B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .THURSDAY...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 70s. East winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 70s. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs around 80. East winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. East winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. Chance of showers 40 percent. East winds around 5 mph. $$ ARZ120-220-190900- Northern Franklin-Central and Southern Franklin- Including the cities of Barnes, Paradise, Cecil, Cravens, Jethro, Lonelm, Ozark, Watalula, and Charleston 1120 AM CDT Mon May 18 2026 Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy Min/Max Temperature 70 83 62 80 Max/Min Humidity(%) 92 76 100 71 AM 20ft Wind(mph) S 7 G20 NE 5 PM 20ft Wind(mph) SE 11 G24 S 5 Lgt/Var E 5 Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Tstms Chance Precip (%) 0 90 70 70 Precip Amount (in) 0.00 0.65 0.14 0.21 Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 2270 2320 Transport Wnd (mph) S 12 SE 10 1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 79 77 75 72 Vent Rate (m/s-m) 960 600 Category Day Index 2 2 Stability Class F B F B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .THURSDAY...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 70s. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 70s. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. East winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. East winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. East winds around 5 mph. $$ ARZ129-229-190900- North and Central Sebastian-Southern Sebastian- Including the cities of Fort Smith, Liberty, Mansfield, Hartford, Huntington, and Patterson 1120 AM CDT Mon May 18 2026 Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy Min/Max Temperature 72 84 64 80 Max/Min Humidity(%) 86 72 100 66 AM 20ft Wind(mph) S 7 G22 Lgt/Var PM 20ft Wind(mph) S 12 G23 SW 5 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Tstms Chance Precip (%) 0 90 70 70 Precip Amount (in) 0.00 0.61 0.17 0.15 Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 3230 2430 Transport Wnd (mph) SW 13 SE 9 1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 80 78 78 76 Vent Rate (m/s-m) 980 540 Category Day Index 3 2 Stability Class F B F B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .THURSDAY...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper 70s. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs around 80. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. Light winds. .SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 80s. East winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 80s. Chance of showers 40 percent. East winds around 5 mph. $$ OKZ058-063-068-069-172-272-190900- Ottawa-Delaware-Cherokee-Adair-Northern Sequoyah- Central and Southern Sequoyah- Including the cities of Miami, Grove, Jay, Tahlequah, Stilwell, Marble City, and Sallisaw 1120 AM CDT Mon May 18 2026 Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy Min/Max Temperature 69 79 57 75 Max/Min Humidity(%) 92 72 97 62 AM 20ft Wind(mph) S 6 NE 6 PM 20ft Wind(mph) S 14 G23 NW 6 Lgt/Var NE 6 Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms Chance Precip (%) 20 90 80 50 Precip Amount (in) 0.02 0.37 0.16 0.11 Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 1860 2180 Transport Wnd (mph) SW 16 NE 13 1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 79 66 69 68 Vent Rate (m/s-m) 1140 1020 Category Day Index 2 2 Stability Class F B F B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .THURSDAY...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 70s. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 70s. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. East winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. Chance of showers 30 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 80s. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. East winds around 5 mph. $$ OKZ055>057-059>062-064>067-154-254-354-190900- Washington OK-Nowata-Craig-Pawnee-Tulsa-Rogers-Mayes-Creek- Okfuskee-Okmulgee-Wagoner-Western Osage-Northeast Osage- Southeast Osage- Including the cities of Bartlesville, Nowata, Vinita, Pawnee, Tulsa, Claremore, Pryor, Sapulpa, Okemah, Okmulgee, Wagoner, Fairfax, Shidler, Pawhuska, and Hominy 1120 AM CDT Mon May 18 2026 Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy Min/Max Temperature 61 75 54 71 Max/Min Humidity(%) 97 63 96 57 AM 20ft Wind(mph) NW 9 G17 NE 9 PM 20ft Wind(mph) S 18 G27 N 9 G17 NE 7 NE 9 Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms Chance Precip (%) 70 60 70 30 Precip Amount (in) 0.21 0.16 0.09 0.06 Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 2250 2800 Transport Wnd (mph) N 17 NE 15 1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 75 55 62 64 Vent Rate (m/s-m) 1440 1340 Category Day Index 3 3 Stability Class F C F B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .THURSDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid 70s. Chance of precipitation 80 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Highs in the upper 70s. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 60. Highs in the lower 80s. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 80s. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 80s. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. South winds around 5 mph. $$ OKZ176-276-376-190900- Northern Le Flore-Central Le Flore-Southern Le Flore- Including the cities of Pocola, Spiro, Arkoma, Panama, Poteau, and Talihina 1120 AM CDT Mon May 18 2026 Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy Min/Max Temperature 70 82 63 78 Max/Min Humidity(%) 92 72 100 70 AM 20ft Wind(mph) S 8 G27 Lgt/Var PM 20ft Wind(mph) S 14 G28 SW 5 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Tstms Chance Precip (%) 0 90 60 60 Precip Amount (in) 0.00 0.56 0.15 0.20 Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 2760 2730 Transport Wnd (mph) SW 13 SE 7 1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 79 77 77 75 Vent Rate (m/s-m) 1200 620 Category Day Index 3 2 Stability Class F B F B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .THURSDAY...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 70s. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 70s. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs around 80. Chance of showers 50 percent. Light winds. .SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. Light winds. .MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. Chance of showers 40 percent. East winds around 5 mph. $$