FNUS54 KTSA 190431 FWFTSA Fire Weather Planning Forecast National Weather Service Tulsa OK 1130 PM CDT Mon May 18 2026 RED FLAG...None. .DISCUSSION... Strong winds expected through this evening. Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms across northwest Arkansas will diminish by mid afternoon. A cold front and numerous showers and storms arrive Tuesday morning for northeast Oklahoma, continuing southeast through the day. Widespread rains are expected with locally heavy rainfall potential. Cooler temperatures expected for mid week with additional rain chances through late week. Fire weather conditions are not expected to be a concern through the forecast period. OKZ049-053-190530- Pushmataha-Choctaw- Including the cities of Antlers, Clayton, and Hugo 1130 PM CDT Mon May 18 2026 Tue Tue Night Wed Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy Min/Max Temperature 78 63 80 Max/Min Humidity(%) 76 100 68 AM 20ft Wind(mph) S 7 G20 Lgt/Var PM 20ft Wind(mph) S 5 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Chance Precip (%) 90 50 50 Precip Amount (in) 0.62 0.08 0.13 Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2130 3310 Transport Wnd (mph) S 12 NE 10 1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 79 79 74 Vent Rate (m/s-m) 880 740 Category Day Index 2 3 Stability Class B F B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .THURSDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 70s. Chance of precipitation 90 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs around 80. Chance of precipitation 80 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. East winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs around 80. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. East winds around 5 mph. $$ OKZ070-071-073>075-190530- Muskogee-McIntosh-Pittsburg-Haskell-Latimer- Including the cities of Muskogee, Checotah, McAlester, Stigler, and Wilburton 1130 PM CDT Mon May 18 2026 Tue Tue Night Wed Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy Min/Max Temperature 78 59 76 Max/Min Humidity(%) 73 100 71 AM 20ft Wind(mph) S 7 G19 Lgt/Var PM 20ft Wind(mph) NW 6 Lgt/Var N 5 Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Chance Precip (%) 80 50 30 Precip Amount (in) 0.63 0.11 0.04 Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)1670 2910 Transport Wnd (mph) N 13 N 10 1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 75 76 73 Vent Rate (m/s-m) 840 690 Category Day Index 2 3 Stability Class B F B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .THURSDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 70s. Chance of precipitation 90 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 70s. Chance of precipitation 90 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. East winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. East winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. East winds around 5 mph. $$ ARZ001-190530- Benton- Including the cities of Rogers and Bentonville 1130 PM CDT Mon May 18 2026 Tue Tue Night Wed Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy Min/Max Temperature 75 58 71 Max/Min Humidity(%) 75 100 71 AM 20ft Wind(mph) S 9 NE 6 PM 20ft Wind(mph) W 6 N 5 NE 6 Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Chance Precip (%) 80 60 40 Precip Amount (in) 0.53 0.15 0.04 Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)1730 2030 Transport Wnd (mph) SW 14 E 12 1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 71 67 67 Vent Rate (m/s-m) 1130 770 Category Day Index 2 2 Stability Class B F B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .THURSDAY...Showers likely. Lows around 60. Highs in the mid 70s. Chance of showers 70 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 70s. Chance of precipitation 90 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs around 80. South winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. East winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. Southeast winds around 5 mph. $$ ARZ002-190530- Carroll- Including the cities of Berryville and Eureka Springs 1130 PM CDT Mon May 18 2026 Tue Tue Night Wed Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy Min/Max Temperature 76 58 69 Max/Min Humidity(%) 77 100 80 AM 20ft Wind(mph) S 8 G21 NE 5 PM 20ft Wind(mph) SW 6 Lgt/Var NE 5 Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Chance Precip (%) 90 70 40 Precip Amount (in) 0.50 0.14 0.04 Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2200 1970 Transport Wnd (mph) SW 17 E 12 1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 75 63 64 Vent Rate (m/s-m) 1500 690 Category Day Index 3 2 Stability Class B F B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .THURSDAY...Showers likely. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower 70s. Chance of showers 60 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 70s. Chance of precipitation 80 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs around 80. South winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs around 80. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. Southeast winds around 5 mph. $$ ARZ010-190530- Washington AR- Including the cities of Fayetteville and Springdale 1130 PM CDT Mon May 18 2026 Tue Tue Night Wed Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy Min/Max Temperature 76 60 72 Max/Min Humidity(%) 72 98 71 AM 20ft Wind(mph) S 9 G22 NE 5 PM 20ft Wind(mph) SW 6 Lgt/Var NE 6 Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Chance Precip (%) 90 60 50 Precip Amount (in) 0.59 0.14 0.06 Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)1740 2290 Transport Wnd (mph) SW 17 E 12 1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 74 71 68 Vent Rate (m/s-m) 1320 760 Category Day Index 3 2 Stability Class B F B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .THURSDAY...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 70s. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 70s. Chance of precipitation 90 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 70s. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 70s. East winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. Southeast winds around 5 mph. $$ ARZ011-190530- Madison- Including the city of Huntsville 1130 PM CDT Mon May 18 2026 Tue Tue Night Wed Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy Min/Max Temperature 76 60 72 Max/Min Humidity(%) 77 100 80 AM 20ft Wind(mph) S 9 G23 NE 5 PM 20ft Wind(mph) SW 6 Lgt/Var NE 5 Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Chance Precip (%) 80 50 50 Precip Amount (in) 0.65 0.14 0.07 Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)1930 2140 Transport Wnd (mph) SW 18 E 12 1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 73 67 65 Vent Rate (m/s-m) 1370 720 Category Day Index 3 2 Stability Class B F B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .THURSDAY...Showers likely. Lows around 60. Highs in the lower 70s. Chance of showers 60 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 70s. Chance of precipitation 90 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 70s. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 70s. East winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs around 80. Southeast winds around 5 mph. $$ ARZ119-219-190530- Northern Crawford-Southern Crawford- Including the cities of Mountainburg and Van Buren 1130 PM CDT Mon May 18 2026 Tue Tue Night Wed Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy Min/Max Temperature 78 63 78 Max/Min Humidity(%) 75 96 72 AM 20ft Wind(mph) S 6 G18 Lgt/Var PM 20ft Wind(mph) SE 5 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Chance Precip (%) 90 50 60 Precip Amount (in) 0.81 0.13 0.07 Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)1730 2310 Transport Wnd (mph) SE 10 E 8 1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 77 75 72 Vent Rate (m/s-m) 710 560 Category Day Index 2 2 Stability Class B F B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .THURSDAY...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 70s. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper 70s. Chance of precipitation 90 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 70s. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper 70s. East winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. East winds around 5 mph. $$ ARZ120-220-190530- Northern Franklin-Central and Southern Franklin- Including the cities of Barnes, Paradise, Cecil, Cravens, Jethro, Lonelm, Ozark, Watalula, and Charleston 1130 PM CDT Mon May 18 2026 Tue Tue Night Wed Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy Min/Max Temperature 79 64 81 Max/Min Humidity(%) 78 100 73 AM 20ft Wind(mph) S 6 G20 Lgt/Var PM 20ft Wind(mph) SE 5 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Chance Precip (%) 80 40 60 Precip Amount (in) 0.69 0.14 0.07 Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2010 2550 Transport Wnd (mph) S 15 SE 9 1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 77 76 73 Vent Rate (m/s-m) 930 600 Category Day Index 3 2 Stability Class B F B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .THURSDAY...Showers likely. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 70s. Chance of showers 60 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper 70s. Chance of precipitation 90 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. East winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs around 80. East winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. East winds around 5 mph. $$ ARZ129-229-190530- North and Central Sebastian-Southern Sebastian- Including the cities of Fort Smith, Liberty, Mansfield, Hartford, Huntington, and Patterson 1130 PM CDT Mon May 18 2026 Tue Tue Night Wed Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy Min/Max Temperature 80 65 80 Max/Min Humidity(%) 72 98 69 AM 20ft Wind(mph) S 7 G22 Lgt/Var PM 20ft Wind(mph) S 5 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Chance Precip (%) 80 40 70 Precip Amount (in) 0.61 0.13 0.07 Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2250 2580 Transport Wnd (mph) SW 15 SE 9 1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 78 77 74 Vent Rate (m/s-m) 1040 570 Category Day Index 3 2 Stability Class B F B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .THURSDAY...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper 70s. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs around 80. Chance of precipitation 90 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. East winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. East winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. East winds around 5 mph. $$ OKZ058-063-068-069-172-272-190530- Ottawa-Delaware-Cherokee-Adair-Northern Sequoyah- Central and Southern Sequoyah- Including the cities of Miami, Grove, Jay, Tahlequah, Stilwell, Marble City, and Sallisaw 1130 PM CDT Mon May 18 2026 Tue Tue Night Wed Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy Min/Max Temperature 76 56 76 Max/Min Humidity(%) 75 100 69 AM 20ft Wind(mph) S 6 NE 5 PM 20ft Wind(mph) NW 6 Lgt/Var NE 6 Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Chance Precip (%) 80 60 40 Precip Amount (in) 0.57 0.16 0.03 Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)1610 2290 Transport Wnd (mph) N 12 NE 13 1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 71 70 70 Vent Rate (m/s-m) 750 930 Category Day Index 2 3 Stability Class B F B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .THURSDAY...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 70s. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 70s. Chance of precipitation 90 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs around 80. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. East winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. East winds around 5 mph. $$ OKZ055>057-059>062-064>067-154-254-354-190530- Washington OK-Nowata-Craig-Pawnee-Tulsa-Rogers-Mayes-Creek- Okfuskee-Okmulgee-Wagoner-Western Osage-Northeast Osage- Southeast Osage- Including the cities of Bartlesville, Nowata, Vinita, Pawnee, Tulsa, Claremore, Pryor, Sapulpa, Okemah, Okmulgee, Wagoner, Fairfax, Shidler, Pawhuska, and Hominy 1130 PM CDT Mon May 18 2026 Tue Tue Night Wed Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy Min/Max Temperature 73 53 71 Max/Min Humidity(%) 69 100 68 AM 20ft Wind(mph) NW 8 G19 NE 9 PM 20ft Wind(mph) N 10 G18 NE 8 NE 9 Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Chance Precip (%) 60 60 20 Precip Amount (in) 0.26 0.09 0.01 Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)1970 2480 Transport Wnd (mph) N 17 NE 14 1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 59 62 65 Vent Rate (m/s-m) 1330 1160 Category Day Index 3 3 Stability Class C F B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .THURSDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower 70s. Chance of precipitation 90 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Highs in the upper 70s. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs around 80. North winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. East winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. East winds around 5 mph. $$ OKZ176-276-376-190530- Northern Le Flore-Central Le Flore-Southern Le Flore- Including the cities of Pocola, Spiro, Arkoma, Panama, Poteau, and Talihina 1130 PM CDT Mon May 18 2026 Tue Tue Night Wed Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy Min/Max Temperature 79 62 78 Max/Min Humidity(%) 71 100 71 AM 20ft Wind(mph) S 8 G27 Lgt/Var PM 20ft Wind(mph) S 5 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Chance Precip (%) 80 40 60 Precip Amount (in) 0.59 0.10 0.10 Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2040 2830 Transport Wnd (mph) S 12 NE 9 1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 77 78 73 Vent Rate (m/s-m) 1010 640 Category Day Index 2 2 Stability Class B F B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .THURSDAY...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 70s. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 70s. Chance of precipitation 90 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs around 80. East winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs around 80. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. East winds around 5 mph. $$