FNUS54 KTSA 220404 FWFTSA Fire Weather Planning Forecast National Weather Service Tulsa OK 1104 PM CDT Fri Aug 21 2026 RED FLAG...None. .DISCUSSION... Periodic shower and thunderstorm chances are expected through Monday. There is uncertainty on how widespread the overall rainfall footprint will become along with rainfall totals, however beneficial rains are possible for a few locations. Temperatures will be dependant on the timing and coverage of any larger thunderstorm complex, but hot weather will continue away from the more widespread rains. Fire weather concerns will continue given the overall dry fuel state. Expect hot and dry weather to return by mid to late next week with only a very marginal chance of additional precipitation. OKZ049-053-220515- Pushmataha-Choctaw- Including the cities of Antlers, Clayton, and Hugo 1104 PM CDT Fri Aug 21 2026 Sat Sat Night Sun Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Min/Max Temperature 102 71 103 Max/Min Humidity(%) 31 90 28 AM 20ft Wind(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var PM 20ft Wind(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Precip Type Tstms Tstms None Chance Precip (%) 20 20 0 Precip Amount (in) 0.02 0.00 0.00 Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)7830 9520 Transport Wnd (mph) NW 9 S 10 1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 95 91 93 Vent Rate (m/s-m) 2350 2360 Category Day Index 4 4 Stability Class B F B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Highs around 103. South winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 70s. Highs around 104. South winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 70s. Highs around 100. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs around 100. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the upper 90s. East winds around 5 mph. $$ OKZ070-071-073>075-220515- Muskogee-McIntosh-Pittsburg-Haskell-Latimer- Including the cities of Muskogee, Checotah, McAlester, Stigler, and Wilburton 1104 PM CDT Fri Aug 21 2026 Sat Sat Night Sun Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Min/Max Temperature 100 71 102 Max/Min Humidity(%) 35 96 33 AM 20ft Wind(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var PM 20ft Wind(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SE 5 Precip Type Tstms Showers None Chance Precip (%) 30 20 0 Precip Amount (in) 0.03 0.00 0.00 Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5930 8040 Transport Wnd (mph) NW 8 SE 10 1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 95 90 90 Vent Rate (m/s-m) 1740 1740 Category Day Index 3 4 Stability Class B F B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Highs around 102. East winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 70s. Highs around 102. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Highs in the upper 90s. East winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the upper 90s. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Highs in the upper 90s. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. East winds around 5 mph. $$ ARZ001-220515- Benton- Including the cities of Rogers and Bentonville 1104 PM CDT Fri Aug 21 2026 Sat Sat Night Sun Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Min/Max Temperature 95 69 94 Max/Min Humidity(%) 41 89 41 AM 20ft Wind(mph) Lgt/Var E 5 PM 20ft Wind(mph) N 5 Lgt/Var E 5 Precip Type Tstms None Tstms Chance Precip (%) 50 0 20 Precip Amount (in) 0.10 0.00 0.00 Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5450 7590 Transport Wnd (mph) NW 9 W 8 1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 91 84 81 Vent Rate (m/s-m) 1540 1310 Category Day Index 3 4 Stability Class B F B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .MONDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the mid 90s. Chance of showers 50 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the upper 90s. East winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the mid 90s. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 70. Highs in the mid 90s. East winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the mid 90s. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. $$ ARZ002-220515- Carroll- Including the cities of Berryville and Eureka Springs 1104 PM CDT Fri Aug 21 2026 Sat Sat Night Sun Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Min/Max Temperature 94 68 92 Max/Min Humidity(%) 46 92 46 AM 20ft Wind(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var PM 20ft Wind(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Chance Precip (%) 50 20 20 Precip Amount (in) 0.05 0.00 0.01 Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4970 6870 Transport Wnd (mph) NW 10 W 8 1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 89 81 77 Vent Rate (m/s-m) 1180 1220 Category Day Index 3 4 Stability Class B F B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .MONDAY...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the upper 80s. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the mid 90s. East winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the lower 90s. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the lower 90s. South winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 70. Highs in the lower 90s. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. South winds around 5 mph. $$ ARZ010-220515- Washington AR- Including the cities of Fayetteville and Springdale 1104 PM CDT Fri Aug 21 2026 Sat Sat Night Sun Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Min/Max Temperature 95 69 94 Max/Min Humidity(%) 38 88 40 AM 20ft Wind(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var PM 20ft Wind(mph) N 5 Lgt/Var SE 5 Precip Type Tstms Showers Showers Chance Precip (%) 50 10 20 Precip Amount (in) 0.11 0.00 0.00 Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5950 6840 Transport Wnd (mph) NW 9 SW 8 1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 90 84 80 Vent Rate (m/s-m) 1490 1270 Category Day Index 3 4 Stability Class B F B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .MONDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the lower 90s. Chance of showers 50 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the upper 90s. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the mid 90s. East winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 70. Highs in the mid 90s. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the mid 90s. Southeast winds around 5 mph. $$ ARZ011-220515- Madison- Including the city of Huntsville 1104 PM CDT Fri Aug 21 2026 Sat Sat Night Sun Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Min/Max Temperature 94 67 91 Max/Min Humidity(%) 44 91 46 AM 20ft Wind(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var PM 20ft Wind(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Precip Type Tstms Showers Tstms Chance Precip (%) 40 20 20 Precip Amount (in) 0.08 0.00 0.00 Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5860 6980 Transport Wnd (mph) NW 12 W 7 1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 88 80 77 Vent Rate (m/s-m) 750 1200 Category Day Index 4 3 Stability Class B F B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .MONDAY...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the upper 80s. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 70. Highs in the mid 90s. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Highs in the lower 90s. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the lower 90s. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the lower 90s. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. $$ ARZ119-219-220515- Northern Crawford-Southern Crawford- Including the cities of Mountainburg and Van Buren 1104 PM CDT Fri Aug 21 2026 Sat Sat Night Sun Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Min/Max Temperature 98 70 95 Max/Min Humidity(%) 39 87 43 AM 20ft Wind(mph) Lgt/Var E 6 PM 20ft Wind(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SE 5 Precip Type Tstms Showers Tstms Chance Precip (%) 40 20 20 Precip Amount (in) 0.07 0.00 0.00 Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)6540 5550 Transport Wnd (mph) NW 12 SE 8 1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 93 88 83 Vent Rate (m/s-m) 1360 1290 Category Day Index 4 3 Stability Class B F B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the mid 90s. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. East winds around 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Highs in the upper 90s. East winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Highs in the mid 90s. East winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the mid 90s. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the mid 90s. East winds around 5 mph. $$ ARZ120-220-220515- Northern Franklin-Central and Southern Franklin- Including the cities of Barnes, Paradise, Cecil, Cravens, Jethro, Lonelm, Ozark, Watalula, and Charleston 1104 PM CDT Fri Aug 21 2026 Sat Sat Night Sun Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Min/Max Temperature 100 71 97 Max/Min Humidity(%) 40 90 45 AM 20ft Wind(mph) Lgt/Var E 6 PM 20ft Wind(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var E 5 Precip Type Tstms Showers Tstms Chance Precip (%) 30 20 20 Precip Amount (in) 0.05 0.01 0.00 Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)6460 5550 Transport Wnd (mph) NW 9 S 7 1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 94 88 83 Vent Rate (m/s-m) 1190 1370 Category Day Index 3 3 Stability Class B F B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .MONDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the mid 90s. Chance of showers 50 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the upper 90s. East winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the upper 90s. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the upper 90s. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the upper 90s. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. East winds around 5 mph. $$ ARZ129-229-220515- North and Central Sebastian-Southern Sebastian- Including the cities of Fort Smith, Liberty, Mansfield, Hartford, Huntington, and Patterson 1104 PM CDT Fri Aug 21 2026 Sat Sat Night Sun Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Min/Max Temperature 101 73 100 Max/Min Humidity(%) 32 90 35 AM 20ft Wind(mph) Lgt/Var E 6 PM 20ft Wind(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var E 5 Precip Type Tstms Showers Tstms Chance Precip (%) 30 20 20 Precip Amount (in) 0.04 0.01 0.00 Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)7440 7270 Transport Wnd (mph) NW 10 SE 7 1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 95 89 87 Vent Rate (m/s-m) 1340 1480 Category Day Index 4 3 Stability Class B F B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Highs in the upper 90s. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Highs around 102. East winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Highs in the upper 90s. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs around 100. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Highs in the upper 90s. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. East winds around 5 mph. $$ OKZ058-063-068-069-172-272-220515- Ottawa-Delaware-Cherokee-Adair-Northern Sequoyah- Central and Southern Sequoyah- Including the cities of Miami, Grove, Jay, Tahlequah, Stilwell, Marble City, and Sallisaw 1104 PM CDT Fri Aug 21 2026 Sat Sat Night Sun Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Pcldy Min/Max Temperature 97 70 96 Max/Min Humidity(%) 38 88 39 AM 20ft Wind(mph) Lgt/Var E 5 PM 20ft Wind(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SE 5 Precip Type Tstms None None Chance Precip (%) 50 0 0 Precip Amount (in) 0.12 0.00 0.00 Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4850 5930 Transport Wnd (mph) NW 12 SE 8 1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 93 88 85 Vent Rate (m/s-m) 1570 1410 Category Day Index 3 3 Stability Class B F B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the upper 90s. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Highs in the upper 90s. East winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Highs in the upper 90s. East winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the upper 90s. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the upper 90s. East winds around 5 mph. $$ OKZ055>057-059>062-064>067-154-254-354-220515- Washington OK-Nowata-Craig-Pawnee-Tulsa-Rogers-Mayes-Creek- Okfuskee-Okmulgee-Wagoner-Western Osage-Northeast Osage- Southeast Osage- Including the cities of Bartlesville, Nowata, Vinita, Pawnee, Tulsa, Claremore, Pryor, Sapulpa, Okemah, Okmulgee, Wagoner, Fairfax, Shidler, Pawhuska, and Hominy 1104 PM CDT Fri Aug 21 2026 Sat Sat Night Sun Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Pcldy Min/Max Temperature 98 69 98 Max/Min Humidity(%) 39 91 38 AM 20ft Wind(mph) Lgt/Var E 6 PM 20ft Wind(mph) E 5 E 5 E 7 Precip Type Tstms None None Chance Precip (%) 40 0 0 Precip Amount (in) 0.10 0.00 0.00 Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3790 5040 Transport Wnd (mph) N 13 S 12 1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 95 88 88 Vent Rate (m/s-m) 2450 1810 Category Day Index 3 3 Stability Class B F B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs around 100. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Highs in the upper 90s. North winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Highs in the upper 90s. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the upper 90s. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the upper 90s. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. $$ OKZ176-276-376-220515- Northern Le Flore-Central Le Flore-Southern Le Flore- Including the cities of Pocola, Spiro, Arkoma, Panama, Poteau, and Talihina 1104 PM CDT Fri Aug 21 2026 Sat Sat Night Sun Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Min/Max Temperature 101 70 101 Max/Min Humidity(%) 31 92 31 AM 20ft Wind(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var PM 20ft Wind(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Precip Type Tstms Tstms None Chance Precip (%) 30 20 0 Precip Amount (in) 0.03 0.00 0.00 Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)6920 8790 Transport Wnd (mph) NW 8 S 8 1700FT MIXHGT T (F) 94 89 87 Vent Rate (m/s-m) 1620 1490 Category Day Index 4 4 Stability Class B F B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Highs in the upper 90s. East winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Highs around 102. East winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Highs in the upper 90s. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the upper 90s. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the upper 90s. East winds around 5 mph. $$