FGUS54 KTUA 161407 RVFLZK RIVER FORECAST NWS ARKANSAS-RED BASIN RIVER FORECAST CENTER TULSA OK 907 AM CDT FRI OCT 16 2026 THIS IS A NWS GUIDANCE PRODUCT FROM THE ARKANSAS-RED BASIN RIVER FORECAST CENTER. PUBLIC FORECASTS AND WARNINGS ARE ISSUED BY NWS WEATHER FORECAST OFFICES. : FORECAST GROUP IS Kerr -- Pine Bluff : : FORECASTS INCLUDE 24-HOUR FUTURE RAINFALL IN SIX-HOUR INCREMENTS. : :******************************************************************* :DARDANELLE, AR - ARKANSAS RIVER :ZERO DATUM 280.16 FT (NGVD29) :ACTION STAGE 32.0 FT MINOR STAGE 32.0 FT :MODERATE STAGE 36.0 FT MAJOR STAGE 40.0 FT : :LATEST RIVER STAGE IS 7.6 FT AT 800 AM CDT ON OCT 16 : .ER DARA4 1016 C DC202610160907/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :RIVER FORECAST/ 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 : 1016 : / 7.0 / 6.2 / 6.0 .E2 : 1017 : / 5.7 / 5.7 / 5.6 / 5.6 .E3 : 1018 : / 5.5 / 5.5 / 5.5 / 5.5 .E4 : 1019 : / 5.5 / 5.5 / 5.5 / 5.4 .E5 : 1020 : / 5.4 / 5.4 / 5.4 / 5.4 .E6 : 1021 : / 5.4 .ER DARA4 1016 C DC202610160907/DH13/PPQFZ/DIH6 :QPF FORECAST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 : 1016 : / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 .E2 : 1017 : / 0.00 .AR DARA4 1016 C DC202610160907/DH13/PPVFZ/DVH24/0.00 : :FORECASTER COMMENTS... : :******************************************************************* : : .ER DARA4 1016 C DC202610160907/DH13/QTIFF/DIH6 :FLOW FORECAST/ 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 : 1016 : / 10.44 / 11.23 / 12.66 .E2 : 1017 : / 13.12 / 12.64 / 12.11 / 11.73 .E3 : 1018 : / 11.17 / 10.51 / 9.90 / 9.34 .E4 : 1019 : / 8.80 / 8.21 / 7.55 / 6.84 .E5 : 1020 : / 6.20 / 5.77 / 5.61 / 5.61 .E6 : 1021 : / 5.63 : : :******************************************************************* :DANVILLE, AR - PETIT JEAN RIVER :ZERO DATUM 303.33 FT (NGVD29) :ACTION STAGE 20.0 FT MINOR STAGE 20.0 FT :MODERATE STAGE 24.0 FT MAJOR STAGE 26.0 FT : :LATEST RIVER STAGE IS 9.8 FT AT 745 AM CDT ON OCT 16 : .ER DANA4 1016 C DC202610160907/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :RIVER FORECAST/ 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 : 1016 : / 9.8 / 9.8 / 9.8 .E2 : 1017 : / 9.8 / 9.7 / 9.7 / 9.7 .E3 : 1018 : / 9.7 / 9.7 / 9.7 / 9.7 .E4 : 1019 : / 9.7 / 9.7 / 9.7 / 9.7 .E5 : 1020 : / 9.7 / 9.7 / 9.7 / 9.7 .E6 : 1021 : / 9.7 .ER DANA4 1016 C DC202610160907/DH13/PPQFZ/DIH6 :QPF FORECAST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 : 1016 : / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 .E2 : 1017 : / 0.00 .AR DANA4 1016 C DC202610160907/DH13/PPVFZ/DVH24/0.00 : :FORECASTER COMMENTS... : :******************************************************************* :MORRILTON, AR - ARKANSAS RIVER :ZERO DATUM 255.55 FT (NGVD29) :ACTION STAGE 29.0 FT MINOR STAGE 30.0 FT :MODERATE STAGE 34.0 FT MAJOR STAGE 38.0 FT : :LATEST RIVER STAGE IS 10.5 FT AT 815 AM CDT ON OCT 16 : .ER MORA4 1016 C DC202610160907/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :RIVER FORECAST/ 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 : 1016 : / 10.1 / 9.7 / 9.6 .E2 : 1017 : / 9.6 / 9.6 / 9.6 / 9.5 .E3 : 1018 : / 9.5 / 9.5 / 9.5 / 9.5 .E4 : 1019 : / 9.5 / 9.5 / 9.5 / 9.5 .E5 : 1020 : / 9.5 / 9.5 / 9.5 / 9.5 .E6 : 1021 : / 9.5 .ER MORA4 1016 C DC202610160907/DH13/PPQFZ/DIH6 :QPF FORECAST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 : 1016 : / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 .E2 : 1017 : / 0.00 .AR MORA4 1016 C DC202610160907/DH13/PPVFZ/DVH24/0.00 : :FORECASTER COMMENTS... : :******************************************************************* : : .ER MORA4 1016 C DC202610160907/DH13/QTIFF/DIH6 :FLOW FORECAST/ 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 : 1016 : / 10.50 / 11.26 / 12.68 .E2 : 1017 : / 13.16 / 12.70 / 12.18 / 11.80 .E3 : 1018 : / 11.25 / 10.58 / 9.97 / 9.42 .E4 : 1019 : / 8.87 / 8.28 / 7.63 / 6.91 .E5 : 1020 : / 6.27 / 5.84 / 5.68 / 5.67 .E6 : 1021 : / 5.69 : : :******************************************************************* :TOAD SUCK L&D, AR - ARKANSAS RIVER :ACTION STAGE 273.0 FT MINOR STAGE 275.0 FT :MODERATE STAGE 278.0 FT MAJOR STAGE 280.0 FT : :LATEST TAILWATER STAGE IS 250.3 FT AT 800 AM CDT ON OCT 16 : .ER TODA4 1016 C DC202610160907/DH13/HTIFF/DIH6 :RIVER FORECAST/ 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 : 1016 : / 250.1 / 249.9 / 249.8 .E2 : 1017 : / 249.9 / 249.9 / 249.8 / 249.8 .E3 : 1018 : / 249.7 / 249.6 / 249.5 / 249.4 .E4 : 1019 : / 249.4 / 249.3 / 249.2 / 249.1 .E5 : 1020 : / 249.0 / 248.9 / 248.9 / 248.9 .E6 : 1021 : / 248.9 .ER TODA4 1016 C DC202610160907/DH13/PPQFZ/DIH6 :QPF FORECAST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 : 1016 : / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 .E2 : 1017 : / 0.00 .AR TODA4 1016 C DC202610160907/DH13/PPVFZ/DVH24/0.00 : :FORECASTER COMMENTS... : :******************************************************************* : : .ER TODA4 1016 C DC202610160907/DH13/QTIFF/DIH6 :FLOW FORECAST/ 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 : 1016 : / 10.62 / 11.12 / 12.40 .E2 : 1017 : / 13.05 / 12.86 / 12.33 / 11.92 .E3 : 1018 : / 11.41 / 10.77 / 10.14 / 9.58 .E4 : 1019 : / 9.00 / 8.42 / 7.77 / 7.07 .E5 : 1020 : / 6.41 / 5.88 / 5.72 / 5.71 .E6 : 1021 : / 5.73 : : :******************************************************************* :LITTLE ROCK, AR - ARKANSAS RIVER :ZERO DATUM 223.61 FT (NGVD29) :ACTION STAGE 18.0 FT MINOR STAGE 23.0 FT :MODERATE STAGE 25.0 FT MAJOR STAGE 27.0 FT : :LATEST RIVER STAGE IS 7.2 FT AT 700 AM CDT ON OCT 16 : .ER LITA4 1016 C DC202610160907/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :RIVER FORECAST/ 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 : 1016 : / 7.3 / 7.3 / 7.3 .E2 : 1017 : / 7.3 / 7.3 / 7.3 / 7.3 .E3 : 1018 : / 7.3 / 7.3 / 7.3 / 7.3 .E4 : 1019 : / 7.3 / 7.3 / 7.2 / 7.2 .E5 : 1020 : / 7.2 / 7.2 / 7.2 / 7.2 .E6 : 1021 : / 7.2 .ER LITA4 1016 C DC202610160907/DH13/PPQFZ/DIH6 :QPF FORECAST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 : 1016 : / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 .E2 : 1017 : / 0.00 .AR LITA4 1016 C DC202610160907/DH13/PPVFZ/DVH24/0.00 : :FORECASTER COMMENTS... : :******************************************************************* : : .ER LITA4 1016 C DC202610160907/DH13/QTIFF/DIH6 :FLOW FORECAST/ 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 : 1016 : / 10.67 / 10.81 / 11.16 .E2 : 1017 : / 11.73 / 12.26 / 12.54 / 12.57 .E3 : 1018 : / 12.42 / 12.13 / 11.73 / 11.26 .E4 : 1019 : / 10.74 / 10.21 / 9.64 / 9.07 .E5 : 1020 : / 8.46 / 7.84 / 7.29 / 6.87 .E6 : 1021 : / 6.58 : : :******************************************************************* :PINE BLUFF, AR - ARKANSAS RIVER :ZERO DATUM 164.71 FT (NGVD29) :ACTION STAGE 40.0 FT MINOR STAGE 42.0 FT :MODERATE STAGE 44.0 FT MAJOR STAGE 45.0 FT : :LATEST RIVER STAGE IS 31.3 FT AT 800 AM CDT ON OCT 16 : .ER PBFA4 1016 C DC202610160907/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :RIVER FORECAST/ 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 : 1016 : / 31.3 / 31.3 / 31.3 .E2 : 1017 : / 31.4 / 31.4 / 31.4 / 31.4 .E3 : 1018 : / 31.4 / 31.4 / 31.4 / 31.4 .E4 : 1019 : / 31.4 / 31.4 / 31.3 / 31.3 .E5 : 1020 : / 31.3 / 31.3 / 31.2 / 31.2 .E6 : 1021 : / 31.2 .ER PBFA4 1016 C DC202610160907/DH13/PPQFZ/DIH6 :QPF FORECAST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 : 1016 : / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 .E2 : 1017 : / 0.00 .AR PBFA4 1016 C DC202610160907/DH13/PPVFZ/DVH24/0.00 : :FORECASTER COMMENTS... : :******************************************************************* : :LATEST RIVER DISCHARGE IS ** ESTIMATED ** :AT 9.53 KCFS AT 700 AM CDT ON OCT 16 : .ER PBFA4 1015 C DC202610160907/DH13/QTIRZ/DIH6 :FLOW / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM / 7AM .E1 : 1015 : / 8.04E / 8.78E / 9.25E / 9.53E : .ER PBFA4 1016 C DC202610160907/DH13/QTIFF/DIH6 :FLOW FORECAST/ 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 : 1016 : / 9.89 / 10.33 / 10.64 .E2 : 1017 : / 10.87 / 11.22 / 11.73 / 12.21 .E3 : 1018 : / 12.50 / 12.54 / 12.40 / 12.12 .E4 : 1019 : / 11.73 / 11.27 / 10.76 / 10.22 .E5 : 1020 : / 9.66 / 9.08 / 8.48 / 7.88 .E6 : 1021 : / 7.34 : : :******************************************************************* : .AR TUA 1016 C DT202610161407/YIIRZ 28 : dgp : $$ : :River forecasts with zero forecast rainfall and other contingencies :available at https://www.weather.gov/source/abrfc/RawModel/index.html : :...END of MESSAGE...