ACUS11 KWNS 192211
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 192211 
OHZ000-MIZ000-KYZ000-INZ000-192315-

Mesoscale Discussion 0794
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0511 PM CDT Tue May 19 2026

Areas affected...eastern Indiana into western Ohio

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 230...231...

Valid 192211Z - 192315Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 230, 231
continues.

SUMMARY...A few severe gusts may still occur with the stronger storm
cores for the next few hours.

DISCUSSION...Multicellular convection is congealing into a
semi-organized line of storms, with a history of at least a few
damaging gusts. These storms continue to progress eastward ahead of
a surface cold front, where surface temperatures in the mid 80s F,
amid 60s F dewpoints, are yielding 1500+ J/kg MLCAPE. Vertical shear
is relatively weak. Nonetheless, the coverage of storms amid the
aforementioned buoyancy suggests that at least a few more damaging
gusts may occur over the next few hours.

..Squitieri.. 05/19/2026

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...CLE...ILN...DTX...LMK...IWX...IND...

LAT...LON   38978710 39748637 41098492 41908371 41958317 41498266
            41178276 40268348 39648401 39188456 38958515 38808579
            38978710 

MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN