ACUS11 KWNS 200451
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 200450 
TXZ000-200615-

Mesoscale Discussion 0799
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1150 PM CDT Tue May 19 2026

Areas affected...from the Laredo area eastward toward the middle to
upper Texas Coast

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 233...

Valid 200450Z - 200615Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 233
continues.

SUMMARY...Isolated wind gusts over 50 kt remain possible across
parts of southern into southeast Texas, within the broader zone of
30-40 kt outflow.

DISCUSSION...Within a broad W-E zone of thunderstorms, a few wind
gusts over 50 kt have been measured, most recently at Kerrville TX
with 56 kt. While most of the outflow as produced gusts of 30-40 kt,
several larger/more organized storm clusters exist near intersecting
outflow boundaries. The air mass remains quite moist, with modest
southerly winds just above the surface aiding inflow (elevated above
the outflow in some cases). 

At this time it appears the overall severe risk will remain isolated
across the entire region, with most gusts below 50 kt. However,
trends will continue to be monitored as the system as a whole
develops southeastward tonight.

..Jewell.. 05/20/2026

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...HGX...CRP...EWX...

LAT...LON   29250098 29450070 29769915 29919899 30279875 30119827
            29889757 30149683 30579672 30649625 30319577 29699572
            29329524 28979551 28659687 28289928 28420044 28830073
            29250098 

MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN