FNUS21 KWNS 091633 FWDDY1 Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1132 AM CDT Thu Jul 09 2026 Valid 091700Z - 101200Z Very minor adjustments were made to the Elevated risk area in eastern AZ where appreciable rainfall has fallen in the last 24-36 hours. Otherwise, the forecast remains on track, see the previous discussion for more information. ..Elizalde-Garcia.. 07/09/2026 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1241 AM CDT Thu Jul 09 2026/ ...Synopsis... Another upper low will move into southwest Canada as the upper high continues near the southern California coast. West-southwest flow aloft will spread over much of the West, with the strongest mid-level flow across central/southern California into northern Arizona. A weak, Pacific cold front will stall out and weaken further across the northern Great Basin and northern Rockies after passing through the Inland Northwest. West-southwest sustained winds of 12-20 mph with gusts of 20-40 mph amid minimum RH of 5-15% are expected across inland southern California and stretching across the southern Great Basin into the Four Corners. The strongest gusts will be along/east the southern Sierra/vicinity during the late afternoon and evening. Additionally, elevated conditions are possible on portions of the Snake River Plain near the weakening Pacific cold front. Given the recent lightning, active large wildfires, and near to record dry fuels, holdovers and growth on existing large fires are a concern for portions of Nevada, Utah, and western Colorado. Isolated dry thunderstorms are likely from northeast Nevada into western Colorado. Enough residual mid-level moisture along with a deep well mixed boundary layer and terrain circulations should combine to produce isolated to possibly scattered mostly dry thunderstorms. Deep pyroconvection on active large wildfires in/around the IsoDryT area remain a concern. Elevated conditions are possible in portions of the Carolinas and eastern Georgia as west-southwest sustained winds of 8-15 mph and minimum RH of 30-40% develop during the afternoon. ERCs are above the 90th percentile across these areas. However, the potential for showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon/evening and low confidence in more than locally elevated conditions developing precludes an Elevated area at this time. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$