WWPS21 NFFN 150600
Tropical Disturbance Summary For area Equator to 25S, 160E to 120W
ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI Oct 150844 UTC.

TROPICAL DISTURBANCE TD01F WAS ANALYSED NEAR 08.1S 164.9W AT
150600UTC. POSITION POOR BASED ON HIMAWARI-9 VIS/IR IMAGERY. TD01F
SLOW MOVING. 

CONVECTION REMAINS PERSISTENT NEAR THE CENTER AND IS GRADUALLY
SHOWING IMPROVEMENT IN ORGANISATION. TD01F LIES IN AN AREA OF
MODERATE SHEARED ENVIRONMENT TO THE WEST WITH GOOD UPPER DIVERGENCE
WHICH IS INCREASING TO THE SOUTH. SYSTEM HAS GOOD LOW LEVEL
CONVERGENCE AND LIES IN AN AREA WITH SST AROUND 29 DEGREES CELSIUS.

GLOBAL MODELS HAVE IDENTIFIED THIS SYSTEM AND MOVE IT IN A SOUTH TO
SOUTHEAST DIRECTION WITH GRADUAL INTENSIFICATION.

THE POTENTIAL FOR THIS SYSTEM TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE IS
LOW TO MODERATE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

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NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ANALYSED OR FORECAST IN THE
AREA.