WWPS21 NFFN 152100
Tropical Disturbance Summary For area Equator to 25S, 160E to 120W
ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI Oct 152113 UTC.

TROPICAL DIPRESSION TD01F WAS ANALYSED NEAR 10.1S 163.4W AT
151800UTC. POSITION POOR BASED ON HIMAWARI-9 VIS/IR IMAGERY. TD01F
SLOW MOVING. 

CONVECTION REMAINS PERSISTENT NEAR THE CENTER AND IS GRADUALLY
SHOWING IMPROVEMENT IN ORGANISATION. TD01F LIES IN AN AREA OF LOW
SHEARED ENVIRONMENT WITH GOOD UPPER DIVERGENCE. SYSTEM HAS GOOD LOW
LEVEL CONVERGENCE TO THE SOUTH AND LIES IN AN AREA WITH SST AROUND 29
DEGREES CELSIUS.

GLOBAL MODELS HAVE IDENTIFIED THIS SYSTEM AND MOVE IT IN A SOUTH TO
SOUTHEAST DIRECTION WITH GRADUAL INTENSIFICATION.

THE POTENTIAL FOR THIS SYSTEM TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE IS
MODERATE TO HIGH WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

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NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ANALYSED OR FORECAST IN THE
AREA.